June 05, 2024 |
The Weakest Link: Navigating Beijing's Dilemmas in the China-DPRK-Russia Partnership
The Weakest Link: Navigating Beijing's Dilemmas in the China-DPRK-Russia Partnership
May 31, 2024 | Dong Ryul LEE
Dong Ryul Lee, Chair of EAI China Research Center and a professor at Dongduk Women’s University, notes that while the partnership between China, DPRK, and Russia seems to have grown closer recently, it is more pertinent to focus on shifts within their bilateral relationships under the trilateral framework. Lee points out that China is in a dilemma: it needs to adopt a more proactive stance in this trilateral relationship to garner allies in its standoff with the U.S., while also managing its diplomatic ties with South Korea, the U.S., Japan, and Europe to safeguard its security interests. Furthermore, Lee stresses that South Korea must actively engage with China, the weakest link in the China-DPRK-Russia relationship, to achieve a breakthrough in resolving the North Korean issue.
Is the Second Korean War Imminent?
Is the Second Korean War Imminent?
May 29, 2024 | Jihwan HWANG
Jihwan Hwang, a professor at University of Seoul, believes it is premature to conclude that Kim Jong Un's increasingly hostile remarks against South Korea and Pyongyang's shift towards a more aggressive nuclear stance signify that North Korea has decided to go to war. While deterrence remains North Korea's primary goal, Hwang cautions that escalating actions during a crisis could inadvertently lead to an incident similar to the one in Sarajevo that sparked World War I. He advocates for nuanced, targeted efforts to prevent such unintentional escalations and to engage in effective diplomacy to manage North Korea’s nuclear ambitions.